Our Best TD Props for Thanksgiving Day – Yurika.R

The annual Thanksgiving Day NFL slate is just as much a part of the holiday as turkey and stuffing.

Featuring the Detroit Lions and Dallas Cowboys in home matchups every year, plus a third primetime game, there is no better time to enjoy football.

We’re looking to take advantage of the three-game slate with an all-day touchdown parlay, featuring three legs – one touchdown prop from each game and boosted with a special DraftKings profit boost promo.

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+656 NFL Thanksgiving Touchdown Parlay Picks

After simulating all three of The Thanksgiving games over 10,000 times, our model has identified probabilities for every TD scorer in each game, including these picks that make up our +656 Touchdown Parlay for the Thanksgiving NFL slate.

PLAYER	PROP	PROBABILITY/ PROJECTION	ODDS
Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions)	Anytime TD	40.2%	-120
Tyrone Tracy Jr. (Giants)	Anytime TD	42.5%	+125
De’Von Achane (Dolphins)	Anytime TD	48.5%	-120

MORE: First & Anytime Touchdown Scorers for Every NFL Game

Leg 1: Amon-R St. Brown Anytime TD (-120)

First up is the Lions’ alpha WR, Amon-Ra St. Brown.

One of the hottest receiving TD scorers over the past month, St. Brown has four touchdowns and 33 targets in that span. His scoreless Week 12 broke his 8-game scoring streak, in which he amassed 9 total touchdowns.

He’s our third-highest probability for a Lions touchdown in this game behind the RB duo of Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery but their odds of -200 don’t offer much appeal. Even though we’d like odds closer to +140 based on our model’s
40.2% probability, the profit boost we use will offset some of that difference.

Leg 2: Tyrone Tracy Jr. Anytime TD (+125)

Next, we’re looking at Giants rooks RB Tyrone Tracy to find his way into the endzone as the Cowboys host their annual thanksgiving game against this division rival.

The Giants are in purgatory after benching then releasing QB Daniel Jones and turning the keys over to Tommy DeVito.  They struggled mightily as a team in Week 12 vs. the Buccaneers and Tracy might have salvaged the day with a touchdown if not for
a costly fumble.

He’s had a couple of those this season, but has been the far better back than Devin Singletary, and he still got 13 looks between the running and passing game.

Tracy is our highest probability scorer in this game at 42.5%, facing a bottom-of-the-barrel Cowboys rushing defense, allowing 150.5 rushing yards/game to opposing teams.

Leg 3: De’Von Achane Anytime TD (-120)

Our final leg is on Dolphins RB De’Von Achane, the highest probability in this parlay at 48.5% and just 3% behind the highest in this game, Josh Jacobs.

The big difference here is that Jacobs is at -185 while Achane is a more manageable -120. 

Achane has five total touchdowns over his past four games, two on the ground and three via the pass. He’s the Dolphins’ most versatile player and is seeing 20+ total touches most days. 

The Packers will post a solid test but the Dolphins are getting in a groove with 34 points in their past two games.

 

Boost This TD parlay to +984 at DraftKings

To get an even bigger payout on this Thanksgiving Touchdown Parlay, opt-in to the Thanksgiving TD Parlay Profit Boost on DraftKings. With a +50% boost, you can get odds of +984, meaning a $25 bet returns a payout of $271!

Your boost size may vary, so be sure to check the promo Terms & Conditions when you opt in and claim yours.

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